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To determine the relative risks of various intervention techniques, we have developed a risk assessment software framework that integrates a spatial agent-based model of movement with an agent-based SIR model. Rather, we find that lowering the frequency at which people leave their workstations and lowering the number of individuals admitted below the current guidelines decreases the likelihood of highly connected individuals within the contact networks that have arisen, which in turn reduces the overall risk of infection. We establish relative infection risk of four respiratory diseases, MERS, SARS, COVID-19, and Measles, within the simulated region, and recommend appropriate intervention guidelines by assuming a direct correlation between data on secondary attack rates and transmission in the agent-based SIR model.
Source link: https://www.osti.gov/biblio/1865742
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